September 28, 2008, 4:15 PM (PDT). A tiny launch pad on Kwajalein Atoll in the Marshall Islands. SpaceX's Falcon 1, the 4th launch. The last gamble after three failures in a row. If this one blew up too — every asset 31-year-old Musk owned, Tesla included, was doomed to go down with it. Five minutes that evening moved the space industry from the hands of the state into the hands of individuals.
July 2002. A 31-year-old Elon Musk sold PayPal to eBay for $1.5 billion. His share was roughly $180 million. For most people, that's enough to live comfortably for the rest of your life. But Musk made two insane decisions instead:
Both companies pushed into fields that experts said were "100% guaranteed to fail." The last new automaker startup had been Chrysler, in 1925. And private rocket companies? Every one since the 1980s had a history of going under. Even ex-NASA engineers told Musk that "only nations can do spaceflight."
SpaceX's first key hire was Tom Mueller. A name you probably don't know — but in the space industry, he's a legend.
He grew up in a rural Idaho lumberjack family. As a kid, he built liquid-fueled rockets in his own garage (something you could still do in America back then). LMU (Loyola Marymount University), aerospace engineering → joined TRW. For 25 years, he built propulsion systems for missiles and nuclear submarines. In 2002, Musk called him directly — "Quit TRW, come to my company, and let's build humanity's first private ICBM."
What Mueller built was the Merlin engine. The core technology: the pintle injector. NASA had used it in the 1960s on the Apollo Lunar Module descent engine. But after that, NASA moved away from the more complex pintle design toward a more refined liquid engine (the showerhead-type injector). Mueller's reason for reaching back to the pintle: "It's simple, it's cheap, and if you design it well, it's reliable."
SpaceX had aimed to launch for the first time in 2005. The actual first launch came on March 24, 2006, from Kwajalein in the Marshall Islands. Why there? Musk judged that "Cape Canaveral in Florida is too tightly controlled by NASA, which makes it expensive. A remote spot is cheaper." Kwajalein was a remote atoll the U.S. military had used for ICBM testing.
SpaceX's cash position after three failures in a row: nearly zero. What Musk said in a meeting — "We can launch one more time." Tesla was running out of money in the same period. To save both companies, he even put up his own house as collateral.
That day, the SpaceX staff gathered at the launch site in an almost religious mood. Musk was at the monitor back at the California headquarters. The launch countdown:
T-minus 10... 9... 8... ignition. September 28, 16:15 PDT. Falcon 1 Flight 4 — for the first time — achieved first-stage separation, second-stage ignition, and orbital insertion, all of it. 9 minutes and 31 seconds later, the payload RatSat (a dummy satellite) reached Earth orbit.
— SpaceX Falcon 1 Flight 4 telemetry, 2008.09.28This was the first time in human history that a liquid-fueled rocket built with private capital reached orbit. Until then, every orbital insertion had been done by the United States, the Soviet Union/Russia, Europe's ESA, China, Japan, India. All of them governments. SpaceX was the first private company to pull it off — for a few million dollars.
Just days after the successful launch, NASA announced a $1.6 billion ISS cargo-resupply contract (COTS) with SpaceX. This is what saved Musk's company. It's not that NASA cleverly came to Musk's rescue. After the Columbia disaster (EP07), NASA had decided to retire the Shuttle, and it desperately needed a new way to ship cargo to the ISS.
So — the Columbia tragedy of EP07 → saved SpaceX. That's how all the beats of this series connect. The Shuttle's failure → NASA leaning on the private sector → SpaceX surviving.
Around the same time Musk started SpaceX, another internet billionaire started a space company. Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (founded September 2000). Started a year and eight months earlier than Musk's SpaceX.
But the two companies' strategies were polar opposites:
As of 2008, Bezos's Blue Origin was a company almost nobody had heard of. About 50 employees. Its first New Shepard test flight was in 2011. In the meantime, Musk steadily pushed on through Falcon 9 → Dragon → reusable rockets. As a result, SpaceX pulled far ahead of Blue Origin.
Anyone who has followed this series since EP01 will know. For the 51 years from Sputnik in 1957 to 2008, space launch was the business of governments. NASA, Roscosmos, ESA, CNSA (China), JAXA, ISRO. All governments.
September 28, 2008 — Falcon 1 Flight 4 broke that 51-year balance. Here's what happened over the following 18 years:
All of this — had it exploded on September 28, 2008 — would have made for a completely different history of space. As Musk has often said since: "The scariest 5 minutes of my life were the last 5 minutes of Falcon 1 Flight 4."
In the next installment (EP10, the finale), we'll cover December 21, 2015, the day a rocket returned to the launch pad for the first time. And the reusability revolution of the 11 years that followed — when launch costs fell from $20,000/kg to $1,500/kg. And finally, the next Moon landing that Artemis will bring in 2026. It's the conclusion of the series.