🏆 World Cup 2026 · Group Preview

48 nations, 12 groups. The grand journey has begun

The 2026 North American World Cup kicked off today (June 11) at the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. For the first time ever, 48 nations are split into 12 groups. Here, on a single page, is the strength of every group, our honest predicted standings, the group of death, and the road ahead for Son Heung-min's Korea — drawn into the same group as hosts Mexico.

Jun 11, 20269 min readWORLD CUP 2026

Once every four years, the planet watches the same screen. And this time, that screen got bigger. The 2026 World Cup is the first tournament ever co-hosted by three nations — the United States, Canada and Mexico, and the first staged with the field expanded from 32 teams to 48. The match count balloons from 64 to 104, and the tournament runs a full 39 days. This is a different beast from the World Cup we knew.

The format changed too. The top two from each of the 12 groups advance automatically, and on top of that the eight best third-placed teams join them in a brand-new knockout stage — the Round of 32. In plain terms: finishing third in your group no longer means you're out. That single line rewrites the fate of every underdog and mid-tier side in this tournament — Korea included.

48
Nations in the finals (all-time high)
104
Total matches (was 64)
3
Co-host nations (USA·CAN·MEX)
39
Tournament length (days)

A–L All 12 groups, at a glance

▲ marks teams we expect to reach the knockouts (Round of 32). The standings are subjective predictions based on FIFA rankings, recent form and qualifying momentum — and the ball is round.

A
🇰🇷 Korea
MexicoSouth KoreaSouth AfricaCzechia
Hosts Mexico, roared on by the Azteca, are favorites for top spot. The second ticket is a scrap between Korea, Czechia and South Africa. For Korea, this is a genuinely winnable draw.
Pick 1st Mexico · 2nd South Korea
B
SwitzerlandCanadaQatarBosnia
The well-drilled Swiss and home-soil Canada hold the edge. Qatar, hosts last time out, have pride to win back.
Pick 1st Switzerland · 2nd Canada
C
BrazilMoroccoScotlandHaiti
Title contenders Brazil, plus Morocco of 2022 semifinal fame. On raw quality alone, this group's shape is settled early.
Pick 1st Brazil · 2nd Morocco
D
USATürkiyeParaguayAustralia
Hosts USA chase top spot with home advantage. The wildcard is a resurgent Türkiye led by Arda Güler. Not a group to take lightly.
Pick 1st USA · 2nd Türkiye
E
GermanyEcuadorCôte d'IvoireCuraçao
Perennial heavyweights Germany are nailed-on for first. Solid, hard-to-break Ecuador edge the race for second. And for the tiny Caribbean island of Curaçao, simply reaching a first-ever finals is a fairy tale in itself.
Pick 1st Germany · 2nd Ecuador
F
Asia watch
NetherlandsJapanSwedenTunisia
The Netherlands are a class above, but Japan — who beat both Germany and Spain in 2022 — are no minnows anymore. The group Asian fans will be watching most closely.
Pick 1st Netherlands · 2nd Japan
G
BelgiumEgyptIranNew Zealand
Belgium, edging past the twilight of their golden generation, and Egypt with their king, Mohamed Salah. Add Iran to the mix and the fight for second is fierce.
Pick 1st Belgium · 2nd Egypt
H
SpainUruguaySaudi ArabiaCape Verde
Euro 2024 champions Spain, spearheaded by Lamine Yamal, are title favorites. Streetwise Uruguay follow them through in second. Cape Verde, too, are the stars of a first-ever finals.
Pick 1st Spain · 2nd Uruguay
I
☠ Group of death
FranceNorwaySenegalIraq
The group of death of this tournament. Title contenders France, Norway back for the first time in 28 years with Haaland up top, and African powerhouse Senegal all drawn together. Someone good is going home.
Pick 1st France · 2nd Norway (neck-and-neck with Senegal)
J
ArgentinaAustriaAlgeriaJordan
Defending champions Argentina and Messi's last dance. Top spot looks all but locked, with Austria the likeliest for second. Jordan are at their first-ever finals.
Pick 1st Argentina · 2nd Austria
K
PortugalColombiaUzbekistanDR Congo
The last World Cup for 41-year-old Ronaldo, with Portugal. James Rodríguez's Colombia are the pick for second. Uzbekistan are writing history at a first-ever finals.
Pick 1st Portugal · 2nd Colombia
L
EnglandCroatiaGhanaPanama
England, with Bellingham and Kane, are strong title contenders. The savvy of Croatia, building for life after Modrić, props up second place.
Pick 1st England · 2nd Croatia

Group A Son Heung-min's Korea: a realistic path to the last 16

South Korea were drawn into Group A alongside hosts Mexico, plus South Africa and Czechia. On paper Mexico are a cut above, but the fight for the other two spots leaves Korea with plenty to play for. This is a group where "we can do this" isn't just talk.

It all hinges on Son Heung-min. Now plying his trade at LAFC, Son (33) is at his fourth World Cup — and, as captain, effectively his last big stage. Around him, PSG's Lee Kang-in and Bayern Munich's defensive rock Kim Min-jae hold the spine together. The identity coach Hong Myung-bo has built is clear — Son's moment of magic, and a side that never stops grafting.

Match 1
South Korea vs Czechia · Guadalajara — the first step is half the battle for the last 16
Match 2
South Korea vs Mexico · Guadalajara — a shoot-out with the hosts
Match 3
South Korea vs South Africa · Monterrey — the final 90 minutes that decide it all

🔑 The 'insurance' the 48-team format hands Korea

In the old days, only the group runners-up reached the last 16. This time, the eight best third-placed teams also make the Round of 32. In other words, even if Korea slip behind Mexico into third, just one win and one draw could be enough to chase a knockout ticket. The biggest gift of the expanded format is, paradoxically, a 'second chance' for mid-tier sides like Korea.

The favorites — and the dark horses

Two great poles anchor this tournament: Argentina defending their crown (Messi's last dance) and France hunting redemption (Mbappé). Add Euro 2024 champions Spain, who — led by 18-year-old prodigy Lamine Yamal — have become the most frightening team of the next generation. Throw in eternal contenders Brazil and Bellingham's England, and the very top comes down to about five fingers.

For a dark horse, look no further than Morocco. The first African side to reach a World Cup semifinal in 2022, they're no longer a surprise — they're a force. Japan, with a squad packed full of Europe-based stars, are aiming for more than the last 16, while Haaland's Norway arrive at their first finals in 28 years determined to crash out of the group of death — and into the knockouts. And then there are the first-time guests the 48-team format finally invited — Curaçao, Cape Verde, Uzbekistan, Jordan — whose debuts may be the purest drama this World Cup has to offer.

The ball is rolling now. Until the last team lifts the trophy at MetLife Stadium in New York/New Jersey on July 19, we'll endure 104 ninety-minute battles together over 39 days. Today, Mexico City opened the very first chapter.